Re: (ipv6mh) the Rebel Alliance meetings in Atlanta (long)

[Iljitsch van Beijnum <iljitsch@muada.com>]

On Thu, 5 Dec 2002, Ronald van der Pol wrote:

> > BTW, I'm writing an article about if/when IPv6 will be adopted for a
> > Dutch magazine. I'm still looking for good quotes from IPv6-skeptics.  :-)

> Wrong question. IPv6 *is* being adopted at an exponential rate. See
> http://www.nlnetlabs.nl/ipv6/measurements/index.en.html

I'm not sure what that proves... So the increase in IPv6 ASes is 50 -
100 % a year. At 100%, it will take 6 years for IPv6 to catch up with
IPv4, at 50% it may never happen because of the autonomous growth in
IPv4 ASes. But that's not even very important: as of this week, you may
see AS12854 in the statistics. However, in IPv6 this is usually just a
single box with no real services available: nothing compared with what
you see if you use IPv4.

At the same time, v6 is making progress all the time, and large scale
adoption could happen very quickly, since most of what we need is in
place or getting close. But there's no telling when this will happen.