or if it only presents a single point of view
I think you mean "a clear conclusion" :-)
Do I?
it must get into the nitty gritty and not suffice with "I know someone in Jakarta who connects to Reykjavik so geo aggregation can't work".
Yes, but there is the pesky interaction with economic forces to consider.Economy is much like routing: if you get to assign the costs, you can pretty much make it do anything.
That makes it hard to avoid the final conclusion being a judgement.
If we accept some constraints, we can do much better.
[...]
I'm only concerned with routing inside individual provider networks, so this shouldn't be a problem.I don't think that allows for the economic constraints that mean that certain traffic is only allowed to travel on links paid for by certain parties.
Yes, this is an important issue. Please read section 10 in my draft, but here is my conclusion:In other words you can theorize about some ideal mathematical model, but how do you mix in the economic constraints? One of today's constraints, for example, is "get rid of the packet as quick as you can, unless it's going to my own customer" and that has major impact on the BGP4 topology.
Hm, can we afford to wait for results there?I think this quickly gets into Research Group territory.
In a routed network, the gains aren't as big as all intermediate nodes
need to know the more specifics for packets that may need to be routed
through them, but some quick guestimates land around the 50% mark.
That's 18 months according to Moore, which doesn't sound like much but
1.5 years interest on the "aluminum factory" as one former boss used to
call it (our new network cost the same as an aluminum factory (and
probably used as much electricity too)) adds up to a substantial pile
of change.
But it isn't just Moore's law. It's convergence time. And this is exactly
where we are still waiting for useable output from the Routing
Research Group.
Aggregation helps with convergence too.